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FOPA13 PHFO 241435
PWSCP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  51                   
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION                          
JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...                        
LONGITUDE 153.8 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  25 KTS... 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
LIHUE          34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 232N 1556W 34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 232N 1556W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 232N 1556W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 234N 1580W 34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 234N 1580W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 234N 1580W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 236N 1604W 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 236N 1604W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 236N 1604W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 239N 1628W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 239N 1628W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 239N 1628W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 245N 1681W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 72 245N 1681W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 245N 1681W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     25      20      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER HOUSTON                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$