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FOPA13 PHFO 240835
PWSCP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  50                   
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0900Z SAT SEP 24 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION                          
JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...                        
LONGITUDE 152.6 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  30 KTS... 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 235N 1540W 34 12   3(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 12 235N 1540W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 235N 1540W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 240N 1559W 34  X   8( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 24 240N 1559W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 240N 1559W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 244N 1578W 34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 244N 1578W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 244N 1578W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 247N 1598W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 247N 1598W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 247N 1598W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 251N 1636W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 251N 1636W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 251N 1636W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER HOUSTON                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$