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FOPA13 PHFO 221450
PWSCP3

HURRICANE JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43                             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
1500Z THU SEP 22 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE                                    
JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...                        
LONGITUDE 148.2 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  80 KTS... 90 MPH...150 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
20N 145W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 207N 1490W 34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 207N 1490W 50 68  10(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 12 207N 1490W 64 29   7(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
 24 221N 1502W 34 19  55(74)   8(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 24 221N 1502W 50  1  35(36)   8(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 24 221N 1502W 64  X  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
 36 241N 1514W 34  2  12(14)  37(51)   6(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 241N 1514W 50  X   1( 1)  14(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 241N 1514W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 264N 1528W 34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  19(28)   5(33)   1(34)   X(34)
 48 264N 1528W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 264N 1528W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 314N 1545W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   4(14)   X(14)
 72 314N 1545W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 314N 1545W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 366N 1547W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 96 366N 1547W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 366N 1547W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 401N 1492W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
120 401N 1492W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 401N 1492W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     65      55      45      35      35      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER HOUSTON 
                                                                     
                                                                  
$$