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FOPA13 PHFO 220850
PWSCP3

HURRICANE JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42                             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0900Z THU SEP 22 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE                                    
JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...                        
LONGITUDE 147.7 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
20N 145W       34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BUOY 50004     34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 198N 1484W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 198N 1484W 50 76   9(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 12 198N 1484W 64 41  11(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 
 24 211N 1494W 34 41  42(83)   6(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 24 211N 1494W 50  4  40(44)   7(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 24 211N 1494W 64  X  16(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
 36 228N 1506W 34  2  21(23)  31(54)   6(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 36 228N 1506W 50  X   3( 3)  14(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 228N 1506W 64  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 249N 1519W 34  X   2( 2)  10(12)  17(29)   4(33)   1(34)   X(34)
 48 249N 1519W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 249N 1519W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 307N 1543W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
 72 307N 1543W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 307N 1543W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 370N 1542W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
 96 370N 1542W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 370N 1542W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 425N 1502W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
120 425N 1502W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 425N 1502W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     80     70      55      45      35      35      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER HOUSTON                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$