Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP3.EP102005.37.0509210246 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA13 PHFO 210245
PWSCP3

HURRICANE JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37                             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE                                    
JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...                        
LONGITUDE 145.8 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2am Sat 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Fri
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
15N 145W       34  8   3(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
20N 145W       34 16  11(27)   5(32)   3(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
20N 145W       50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2am Sat 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Fri
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 176N 1465W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 176N 1465W 50 85   6(91)   2(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 12 176N 1465W 64 54  11(65)   2(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 
 24 184N 1474W 34 80  14(94)   3(97)   X(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 24 184N 1474W 50 17  43(60)   8(68)   2(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 24 184N 1474W 64  3  29(32)   9(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
 36 194N 1483W 34 22  42(64)  18(82)   6(88)   2(90)   1(91)   X(91)
 36 194N 1483W 50  1  16(17)  26(43)   9(52)   3(55)   1(56)   X(56)
 36 194N 1483W 64  X   5( 5)  15(20)   6(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
 48 205N 1492W 34  3  18(21)  30(51)  17(68)  12(80)   1(81)   X(81)
 48 205N 1492W 50  X   2( 2)  15(17)  15(32)  10(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 48 205N 1492W 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   5(18)   1(19)   X(19)
 
 
 72 236N 1513W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)  34(45)  10(55)   1(56)
 72 236N 1513W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   4(21)   X(21)
 72 236N 1513W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 96 279N 1534W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  19(24)   4(28)
 96 279N 1534W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 96 279N 1534W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 331N 1553W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
120 331N 1553W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 331N 1553W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     95     95      90      90      85      70      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER POWELL                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$