National Weather Service

• • RSS Feeds
• Get Storm Info
  • Products
  • Satellite
  • Radar
  • Analyses/Forecasts
  • Hydrology
  • E-mail Updates
  • Help with Advisories
• Awareness
  • Preparedness
  • Weather School
  • Storm Names
  • Saffir-Simpson Scale
  • Glossary
  • Acronyms
  • FAQ
  • Breakpoints
• Hurricane History
  • Annual Summaries
  • Product Archive
  • Climatology
• About the CPHC
  • Our Mission
  • Our Office
  • News Items
  • HI RSS Feeds
• Contact Us
  • Webmaster
• Pacific Region Links
  • Regional HQ
  • WFO Honolulu
  • WFO Guam
  • WSO Pago Pago
  • Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
  • International Tsunami Information Center

NWS on Facebook

NWS on Twitter

Weather-Ready Nation

• NOAA
  • » NWS
    • » CPHC Home Page
      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA13 PHFO 190909
PWSCP3

HURRICANE JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30                             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0900Z MON SEP 19 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE                                    
JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...                        
LONGITUDE 142.4 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
15N 145W       34 37  31(68)   6(74)   3(77)   2(79)   1(80)   X(80)
15N 145W       50  2  17(19)  10(29)   2(31)   1(32)   1(33)   X(33)
15N 145W       64  X   7( 7)   5(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
20N 145W       34  1   3( 4)   4( 8)   4(12)   7(19)   4(23)   1(24)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 153N 1432W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 153N 1432W 50 77   9(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 12 153N 1432W 64 45  12(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 
 24 158N 1444W 34 73  18(91)   3(94)   1(95)   X(95)   1(96)   X(96)
 24 158N 1444W 50  9  41(50)   8(58)   2(60)   X(60)   X(60)   1(61)
 24 158N 1444W 64  2  24(26)   5(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
 36 162N 1455W 34 16  45(61)  14(75)   4(79)   2(81)   1(82)   X(82)
 36 162N 1455W 50  1  14(15)  19(34)   5(39)   2(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 36 162N 1455W 64  X   5( 5)  10(15)   3(18)   1(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 
 48 168N 1463W 34  4  26(30)  24(54)   9(63)   6(69)   2(71)   X(71)
 48 168N 1463W 50  X   3( 3)  13(16)   7(23)   5(28)   1(29)   X(29)
 48 168N 1463W 64  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 
 72 180N 1471W 34  1   7( 8)  17(25)  13(38)  11(49)   5(54)   X(54)
 72 180N 1471W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   7(15)   2(17)   X(17)
 72 180N 1471W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 200N 1479W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)  12(20)   8(28)   1(29)
 96 200N 1479W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 96 200N 1479W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 223N 1495W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)
120 223N 1495W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
120 223N 1495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     85     80      75      70      65      60      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER FARRELL                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$