FOPA13 PHFO 201439
PWSCP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006
500 am HST Wed Sep 20 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 118N 1663W 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
12 118N 1663W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 118N 1663W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 126N 1688W 34 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
24 126N 1688W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 126N 1688W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 133N 1711W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 133N 1711W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 133N 1711W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 137N 1732W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 137N 1732W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 137N 1732W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 141N 1769W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 141N 1769W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
72 141N 1769W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 144N 1799E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
96 144N 1799E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 144N 1799E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 148N 1767E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 148N 1767E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 148N 1767E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 25 20 20 15 15 15
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON