FOPA13 PHFO 200842
PWSCP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006
1100 pm HST Tue Sep 19 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 21(26) 4(30) 1(31)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 116N 1650W 34 29 8(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
12 116N 1650W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 116N 1650W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 123N 1677W 34 1 20(21) 9(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
24 123N 1677W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 123N 1677W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 132N 1701W 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 10(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36)
36 132N 1701W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 132N 1701W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 138N 1723W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 9(34) 1(35) 1(36)
48 138N 1723W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 138N 1723W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 142N 1762W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 9(29) 2(31)
72 142N 1762W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 142N 1762W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 144N 1793W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 4(22)
96 144N 1793W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
96 144N 1793W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 148N 1775E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12)
120 148N 1775E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 148N 1775E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 40 45 50 55 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON