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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006
500 pm HST Tue Sep 19 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 9(35) 2(37)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12)
15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 110N 1638W 34 29 10(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
12 110N 1638W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 110N 1638W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 117N 1666W 34 1 30(31) 10(41) X(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
24 117N 1666W 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 117N 1666W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 125N 1691W 34 X 2( 2) 29(31) 11(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44)
36 125N 1691W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
36 125N 1691W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 134N 1716W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 12(41) 2(43) X(43)
48 134N 1716W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
48 134N 1716W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 141N 1749W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 9(37) 2(39)
72 141N 1749W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
72 141N 1749W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 145N 1781W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 5(28)
96 145N 1781W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
96 145N 1781W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 145N 1790E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16)
120 145N 1790E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
120 145N 1790E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 65 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA
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