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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006
1100 am HST Tue Sep 19 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 160W 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11)
10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 14(26) 4(30)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 103N 1614W 34 31 8(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
12 103N 1614W 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 103N 1614W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 111N 1645W 34 X 31(31) 9(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
24 111N 1645W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 111N 1645W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 118N 1673W 34 X 2( 2) 28(30) 12(42) 2(44) 1(45) X(45)
36 118N 1673W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11)
36 118N 1673W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
48 127N 1694W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 22(29) 12(41) 2(43) 1(44)
48 127N 1694W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13)
48 127N 1694W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 136N 1727W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 10(38) 2(40)
72 136N 1727W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 1(13)
72 136N 1727W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 141N 1755W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 16(26) 4(30)
96 141N 1755W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
96 141N 1755W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
120 143N 1774W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 6(21)
120 143N 1774W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
120 143N 1774W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 70 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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