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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006
500 am HST Tue Sep 19 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 160W 34 46 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
10N 160W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12)
10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 16(29) 4(33)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 105N 1611W 34 42 14(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
12 105N 1611W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
12 105N 1611W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 111N 1641W 34 1 40(41) 13(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
24 111N 1641W 50 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13)
24 111N 1641W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 118N 1668W 34 X 3( 3) 42(45) 10(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57)
36 118N 1668W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
36 118N 1668W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 125N 1691W 34 X X( X) 12(12) 28(40) 14(54) 2(56) X(56)
48 125N 1691W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) 1(20) X(20)
48 125N 1691W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 136N 1726W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) 10(45) 2(47)
72 136N 1726W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) 1(18)
72 136N 1726W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
96 142N 1755W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 18(29) 4(33)
96 142N 1755W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
96 142N 1755W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 145N 1776W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 7(23)
120 145N 1776W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
120 145N 1776W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 60 70 75 75
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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