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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006
1100 pm HST Mon Sep 18 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 160W 34 37 18(55) X(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
10N 160W 50 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) 1(16)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 7(32)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 103N 1598W 34 43 17(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
12 103N 1598W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 103N 1598W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 108N 1620W 34 1 42(43) 12(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
24 108N 1620W 50 X 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 1(16)
24 108N 1620W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 114N 1642W 34 X 6( 6) 39(45) 12(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60)
36 114N 1642W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
36 114N 1642W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 120N 1665W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 32(44) 16(60) 1(61) X(61)
48 120N 1665W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22)
48 120N 1665W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 134N 1711W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 12(48) 2(50)
72 134N 1711W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) 1(19)
72 134N 1711W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
96 144N 1743W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) 5(36)
96 144N 1743W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11)
96 144N 1743W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 148N 1765W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24)
120 148N 1765W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
120 148N 1765W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 65 75 80 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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