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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006
500 pm HST Mon Sep 18 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 160W 34 5 22(27) 4(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
10N 160W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 160W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 15(26) 3(29)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 104N 1592W 34 14 11(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
12 104N 1592W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 104N 1592W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 107N 1612W 34 1 30(31) 15(46) 2(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
24 107N 1612W 50 X 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 107N 1612W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 112N 1632W 34 X 5( 5) 40(45) 12(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60)
36 112N 1632W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 2(22) X(22) 1(23)
36 112N 1632W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 119N 1651W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 29(45) 16(61) 1(62) X(62)
48 119N 1651W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23)
48 119N 1651W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 137N 1686W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 12(50) 2(52)
72 137N 1686W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) 1(21)
72 137N 1686W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
96 153N 1723W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) 7(37)
96 153N 1723W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11)
96 153N 1723W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 164N 1753W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 9(21)
120 164N 1753W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
120 164N 1753W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 40 55 65 75 80 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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