FOPA12 PHFO 161500
PWSCP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
500 am HST Thu Aug 16 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 174N 1643W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 174N 1643W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
12 174N 1643W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 177N 1671W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 177N 1671W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 177N 1671W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 181N 1699W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 181N 1699W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 181N 1699W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 186N 1727W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 186N 1727W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 186N 1727W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 197N 1780W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
72 197N 1780W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 197N 1780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 202N 1773E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
96 202N 1773E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 202N 1773E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 204N 1719E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 204N 1719E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 204N 1719E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 20 20 15 15 15 5 10
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWNING