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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
1100 pm HST Wed Aug 15 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 171N 1623W 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 171N 1623W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 171N 1623W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 173N 1648W 34 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 173N 1648W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 173N 1648W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 177N 1675W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
36 177N 1675W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 177N 1675W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 182N 1702W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 182N 1702W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 182N 1702W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 193N 1757W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 193N 1757W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 193N 1757W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 201N 1789E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
96 201N 1789E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 201N 1789E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 204N 1735E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 204N 1735E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 204N 1735E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 20 20 20 20 10 10
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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