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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
500 pm HST Wed Aug 15 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 179N 1613W 34 46 7(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
12 179N 1613W 50 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
12 179N 1613W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 182N 1636W 34 1 23(24) 6(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 182N 1636W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 182N 1636W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 186N 1658W 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
36 186N 1658W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 186N 1658W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 191N 1684W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
48 191N 1684W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 191N 1684W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 201N 1739W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
72 201N 1739W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
72 201N 1739W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 206N 1793W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
96 206N 1793W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 206N 1793W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 209N 1751E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 209N 1751E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 209N 1751E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 35 30 25 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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