Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.EP092007.29.0708152030 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 152030
PWSCP2

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29          
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007         
1100 am HST Wed Aug 15 2007
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 51002     34 31   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 174N 1600W 34 50   8(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 12 174N 1600W 50  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 174N 1600W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 178N 1625W 34  1  24(25)   4(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 24 178N 1625W 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 178N 1625W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 184N 1652W 34  X   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 184N 1652W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 184N 1652W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 189N 1678W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 189N 1678W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 189N 1678W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 199N 1731W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 199N 1731W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 72 199N 1731W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 203N 1780W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 96 203N 1780W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 203N 1780W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 206N 1770E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 206N 1770E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 206N 1770E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     35      30      30      25      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/CRAIG