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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
1100 am HST Wed Aug 15 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51002 34 31 X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 174N 1600W 34 50 8(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
12 174N 1600W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
12 174N 1600W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 178N 1625W 34 1 24(25) 4(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 178N 1625W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 178N 1625W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 184N 1652W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
36 184N 1652W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 184N 1652W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 189N 1678W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17)
48 189N 1678W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 189N 1678W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 199N 1731W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
72 199N 1731W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
72 199N 1731W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 203N 1780W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
96 203N 1780W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 203N 1780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 206N 1770E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 206N 1770E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 206N 1770E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 35 30 30 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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