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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
500 am HST Wed Aug 15 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51002 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 175N 1599W 34 58 10(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
12 175N 1599W 50 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
12 175N 1599W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 179N 1624W 34 1 33(34) 5(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
24 179N 1624W 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 179N 1624W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 185N 1650W 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
36 185N 1650W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 185N 1650W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 191N 1675W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16)
48 191N 1675W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 191N 1675W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 199N 1724W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
72 199N 1724W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 199N 1724W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 204N 1774W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
96 204N 1774W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 204N 1774W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 206N 1777E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 206N 1777E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 206N 1777E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 40 30 30 25 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON
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