Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.EP092007.27.0708150848 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 150848
PWSCP2

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27          
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007         
1100 pm HST Tue Aug 14 2007
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SOUTH POINT    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34 52   3(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
BUOY 51002     50  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HONOLULU       34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LIHUE          34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 179N 1578W 34 80   6(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 12 179N 1578W 50 23   3(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 12 179N 1578W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 185N 1597W 34  3  41(44)   7(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 24 185N 1597W 50  X   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 185N 1597W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 191N 1617W 34  X   5( 5)  19(24)   6(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 36 191N 1617W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 191N 1617W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 196N 1639W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  12(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 48 196N 1639W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 196N 1639W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 204N 1689W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 72 204N 1689W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 204N 1689W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 213N 1745W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 96 213N 1745W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 213N 1745W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 220N 1798E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
120 220N 1798E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 220N 1798E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     45      40      35      30      25      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER DONALDSON