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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
1100 pm HST Tue Aug 14 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SOUTH POINT 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 52 3(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
BUOY 51002 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HONOLULU 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LIHUE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NIIHAU 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 179N 1578W 34 80 6(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
12 179N 1578W 50 23 3(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
12 179N 1578W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 185N 1597W 34 3 41(44) 7(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 185N 1597W 50 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 185N 1597W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 191N 1617W 34 X 5( 5) 19(24) 6(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
36 191N 1617W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 191N 1617W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 196N 1639W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20)
48 196N 1639W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 196N 1639W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 204N 1689W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
72 204N 1689W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 204N 1689W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 213N 1745W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
96 213N 1745W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 213N 1745W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 220N 1798E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 220N 1798E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 220N 1798E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 45 40 35 30 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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