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HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
500 pm HST Mon Aug 13 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51004 34 86 X(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
BUOY 51004 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HILO 34 2 21(23) 6(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
HILO 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SOUTH POINT 34 3 59(62) 8(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
SOUTH POINT 50 X 16(16) 8(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
SOUTH POINT 64 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
KAILUA-KONA 34 1 29(30) 13(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAHULUI 34 X 6( 6) 11(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
KAHULUI 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X 6( 6) 15(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
LANAI CITY 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 5(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 51002 34 1 38(39) 32(71) 3(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75)
BUOY 51002 50 X 11(11) 26(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
BUOY 51002 64 X 2( 2) 16(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
HONOLULU 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LIHUE 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 13(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 10(32) 1(33) X(33)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
NIIHAU 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 166N 1538W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 166N 1538W 50 87 7(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 166N 1538W 64 55 16(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
24 176N 1562W 34 6 82(88) 6(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 176N 1562W 50 X 60(60) 13(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 176N 1562W 64 X 33(33) 12(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
36 185N 1585W 34 X 20(20) 55(75) 10(85) 2(87) X(87) X(87)
36 185N 1585W 50 X 2( 2) 41(43) 12(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57)
36 185N 1585W 64 X 1( 1) 19(20) 8(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
48 194N 1609W 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) 36(59) 16(75) X(75) X(75)
48 194N 1609W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 11(40) X(40) X(40)
48 194N 1609W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17)
72 211N 1652W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 35(39) 10(49) 1(50)
72 211N 1652W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19)
72 211N 1652W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
96 225N 1690W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 3(26)
96 225N 1690W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
96 225N 1690W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 240N 1729W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9)
120 240N 1729W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 240N 1729W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 105 100 95 90 85 70 60
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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