Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.EP092007.22.0708140250 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 140250
PWSCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22               
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007         
500 pm HST Mon Aug 13 2007
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
105 KTS...120 MPH.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 51004     34 86   X(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
BUOY 51004     50  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HILO           34  2  21(23)   6(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
HILO           50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  3  59(62)   8(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
SOUTH POINT    50  X  16(16)   8(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  1  29(30)  13(43)   2(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   6( 6)  11(17)   3(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
KAHULUI        50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   6( 6)  15(21)   5(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
LANAI CITY     50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   3( 3)  15(18)   5(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BUOY 51002     34  1  38(39)  32(71)   3(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)
BUOY 51002     50  X  11(11)  26(37)   3(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
BUOY 51002     64  X   2( 2)  16(18)   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   2( 2)  15(17)   7(24)   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LIHUE          34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  13(21)   6(27)   X(27)   X(27)
LIHUE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  16(22)  10(32)   1(33)   X(33)
NIIHAU         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
NIIHAU         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 166N 1538W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 166N 1538W 50 87   7(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 166N 1538W 64 55  16(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 
 24 176N 1562W 34  6  82(88)   6(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 176N 1562W 50  X  60(60)  13(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 176N 1562W 64  X  33(33)  12(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
 36 185N 1585W 34  X  20(20)  55(75)  10(85)   2(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 36 185N 1585W 50  X   2( 2)  41(43)  12(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 36 185N 1585W 64  X   1( 1)  19(20)   8(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
 48 194N 1609W 34  X   1( 1)  22(23)  36(59)  16(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 48 194N 1609W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  26(29)  11(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 48 194N 1609W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   6(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
 
 72 211N 1652W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  35(39)  10(49)   1(50)
 72 211N 1652W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)   X(19)
 72 211N 1652W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 96 225N 1690W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  17(23)   3(26)
 96 225N 1690W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
 96 225N 1690W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 240N 1729W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)
120 240N 1729W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
120 240N 1729W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    105    100      95      90      85      70      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER POWELL