Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.EP092007.21.0708132046 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 132046
PWSCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21               
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007         
1100 am HST Mon Aug 13 2007
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
110 KTS...125 MPH.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 51004     34 70  13(83)   X(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
BUOY 51004     50 10  13(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
BUOY 51004     64  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HILO           34  1  12(13)  19(32)   4(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)
HILO           50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  1  28(29)  36(65)   5(70)   2(72)   X(72)   X(72)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   3( 3)  21(24)   5(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   1( 1)   9(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   9( 9)  32(41)   8(49)   2(51)   X(51)   X(51)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   2( 2)  12(14)   9(23)   4(27)   X(27)   X(27)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   2( 2)  13(15)  13(28)   5(33)   X(33)   X(33)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   1( 1)  11(12)  12(24)   5(29)   1(30)   X(30)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   8( 8)  44(52)  15(67)   5(72)   X(72)   X(72)
BUOY 51002     50  X   1( 1)  20(21)  15(36)   4(40)   X(40)   X(40)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   8( 8)  10(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  14(21)   8(29)   1(30)   X(30)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  15(27)   1(28)   X(28)
LIHUE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  20(30)   2(32)   1(33)
NIIHAU         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
NIIHAU         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 161N 1524W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 161N 1524W 50 88   7(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 161N 1524W 64 56  16(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 
 24 170N 1547W 34  8  81(89)   5(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 170N 1547W 50  1  62(63)  12(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 24 170N 1547W 64  X  37(37)  13(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 
 36 179N 1568W 34  1  24(25)  52(77)  10(87)   2(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 36 179N 1568W 50  X   4( 4)  43(47)  13(60)   3(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 36 179N 1568W 64  X   1( 1)  23(24)   9(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 48 186N 1589W 34  X   2( 2)  29(31)  33(64)  15(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 48 186N 1589W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)  26(34)  13(47)   1(48)   X(48)
 48 186N 1589W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   8(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
 
 72 201N 1630W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  37(42)  10(52)   1(53)
 72 201N 1630W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)   1(21)
 72 201N 1630W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 96 213N 1670W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  16(22)   4(26)
 96 213N 1670W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 96 213N 1670W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 224N 1713W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
120 224N 1713W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 224N 1713W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    110    110     105     100      90      70      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$ 
                                                                 
FORECASTER POWELL