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HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
1100 am HST Mon Aug 13 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51004 34 70 13(83) X(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
BUOY 51004 50 10 13(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
BUOY 51004 64 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HILO 34 1 12(13) 19(32) 4(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
HILO 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HILO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SOUTH POINT 34 1 28(29) 36(65) 5(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72)
SOUTH POINT 50 X 3( 3) 21(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
SOUTH POINT 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X 9( 9) 32(41) 8(49) 2(51) X(51) X(51)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KAHULUI 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 9(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 13(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BUOY 51002 34 X 8( 8) 44(52) 15(67) 5(72) X(72) X(72)
BUOY 51002 50 X 1( 1) 20(21) 15(36) 4(40) X(40) X(40)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
HONOLULU 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 8(29) 1(30) X(30)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 15(27) 1(28) X(28)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 20(30) 2(32) 1(33)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
NIIHAU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 161N 1524W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 161N 1524W 50 88 7(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 161N 1524W 64 56 16(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
24 170N 1547W 34 8 81(89) 5(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 170N 1547W 50 1 62(63) 12(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
24 170N 1547W 64 X 37(37) 13(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
36 179N 1568W 34 1 24(25) 52(77) 10(87) 2(89) X(89) X(89)
36 179N 1568W 50 X 4( 4) 43(47) 13(60) 3(63) X(63) X(63)
36 179N 1568W 64 X 1( 1) 23(24) 9(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35)
48 186N 1589W 34 X 2( 2) 29(31) 33(64) 15(79) X(79) X(79)
48 186N 1589W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 26(34) 13(47) 1(48) X(48)
48 186N 1589W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25)
72 201N 1630W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 37(42) 10(52) 1(53)
72 201N 1630W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) 1(21)
72 201N 1630W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
96 213N 1670W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 4(26)
96 213N 1670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
96 213N 1670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 224N 1713W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
120 224N 1713W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 224N 1713W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 110 110 105 100 90 70 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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