FOPA12 PHFO 131440
PWSCP2
HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
500 am HST Mon Aug 13 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51004 34 9 54(63) 2(65) 1(66) X(66) 1(67) X(67)
BUOY 51004 50 1 21(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BUOY 51004 64 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
HILO 34 X 4( 4) 21(25) 9(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37)
HILO 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
HILO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SOUTH POINT 34 X 6( 6) 44(50) 14(64) 4(68) X(68) X(68)
SOUTH POINT 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 12(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 18(43) 5(48) X(48) X(48)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 8(27) 1(28) X(28)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LANAI CITY 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 10(32) 1(33) X(33)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 11(28) 1(29) X(29)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X 2( 2) 28(30) 26(56) 10(66) 1(67) X(67)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 8(34) X(34) X(34)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 15(29) 1(30) X(30)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
HONOLULU 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 18(25) 4(29) X(29)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26) 5(31) 1(32)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 156N 1514W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 156N 1514W 50 88 6(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 156N 1514W 64 57 17(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 166N 1538W 34 3 84(87) 7(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
24 166N 1538W 50 X 63(63) 12(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
24 166N 1538W 64 X 37(37) 13(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
36 175N 1558W 34 X 23(23) 53(76) 9(85) 3(88) X(88) X(88)
36 175N 1558W 50 X 4( 4) 44(48) 12(60) 3(63) X(63) X(63)
36 175N 1558W 64 X 1( 1) 23(24) 9(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
48 183N 1578W 34 X 2( 2) 28(30) 33(63) 14(77) 1(78) X(78)
48 183N 1578W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 27(35) 11(46) 1(47) X(47)
48 183N 1578W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25)
72 197N 1615W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 37(43) 9(52) 2(54)
72 197N 1615W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 4(21) X(21)
72 197N 1615W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
96 209N 1652W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 5(28)
96 209N 1652W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
96 209N 1652W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 222N 1700W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
120 222N 1700W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 222N 1700W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 110 105 100 90 70 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON