Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.EP092007.20.0708131440 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 131440
PWSCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20               
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007         
500 am HST Mon Aug 13 2007
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
120 KTS...140 MPH.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 51004     34  9  54(63)   2(65)   1(66)   X(66)   1(67)   X(67)
BUOY 51004     50  1  21(22)   3(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BUOY 51004     64  X   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
HILO           34  X   4( 4)  21(25)   9(34)   3(37)   X(37)   X(37)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   6( 6)  44(50)  14(64)   4(68)   X(68)   X(68)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   1( 1)  14(15)  12(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   2( 2)  23(25)  18(43)   5(48)   X(48)   X(48)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  12(19)   8(27)   1(28)   X(28)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  15(22)  10(32)   1(33)   X(33)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)  11(28)   1(29)   X(29)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   2( 2)  28(30)  26(56)  10(66)   1(67)   X(67)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   9( 9)  17(26)   8(34)   X(34)   X(34)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   6(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)  15(29)   1(30)   X(30)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
HONOLULU       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  18(25)   4(29)   X(29)
LIHUE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  21(26)   5(31)   1(32)
NIIHAU         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 156N 1514W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 156N 1514W 50 88   6(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 156N 1514W 64 57  17(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 
 24 166N 1538W 34  3  84(87)   7(94)   X(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 166N 1538W 50  X  63(63)  12(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 24 166N 1538W 64  X  37(37)  13(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 
 36 175N 1558W 34  X  23(23)  53(76)   9(85)   3(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 36 175N 1558W 50  X   4( 4)  44(48)  12(60)   3(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 36 175N 1558W 64  X   1( 1)  23(24)   9(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
 48 183N 1578W 34  X   2( 2)  28(30)  33(63)  14(77)   1(78)   X(78)
 48 183N 1578W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)  27(35)  11(46)   1(47)   X(47)
 48 183N 1578W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   8(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
 
 72 197N 1615W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  37(43)   9(52)   2(54)
 72 197N 1615W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   4(21)   X(21)
 72 197N 1615W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 96 209N 1652W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  15(23)   5(28)
 96 209N 1652W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
 96 209N 1652W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 222N 1700W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
120 222N 1700W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 222N 1700W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    115    110     105     100      90      70      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOUSTON