Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.EP092007.17.0708122041 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 122041
PWSCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17               
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007         
1100 am HST Sun Aug 12 2007
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
115 KTS...135 MPH.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   3( 3)  38(41)  25(66)   5(71)   X(71)   X(71)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)  12(12)  20(32)   3(35)   X(35)   X(35)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  18(32)   1(33)   X(33)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)  29(46)   2(48)   X(48)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)   1(19)   X(19)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  24(33)   3(36)   X(36)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)   2(20)   X(20)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   3(21)   X(21)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   3(17)   1(18)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  26(32)   5(37)   1(38)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   5(17)   1(18)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   2(14)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   2(13)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 144N 1475W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 144N 1475W 50 85   8(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 12 144N 1475W 64 58  15(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 
 24 153N 1498W 34  2  82(84)   8(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 24 153N 1498W 50  X  59(59)  13(72)   X(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 24 153N 1498W 64  X  34(34)  13(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 
 36 162N 1518W 34  X  18(18)  54(72)  12(84)   2(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 36 162N 1518W 50  X   3( 3)  41(44)  12(56)   2(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 162N 1518W 64  X   1( 1)  21(22)   8(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
 48 170N 1540W 34  X   1( 1)  22(23)  36(59)  14(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 48 170N 1540W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  26(31)   8(39)   1(40)   X(40)
 48 170N 1540W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 
 72 185N 1578W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  29(34)   7(41)   1(42)
 72 185N 1578W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   X(13)
 72 185N 1578W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 200N 1615W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   3(17)
 96 200N 1615W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 96 200N 1615W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 213N 1657W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
120 213N 1657W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 213N 1657W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    110    100      95      90      70      55      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KODAMA/BIRCHARD