Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.EP092007.14.0708120244 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 120244
PWSCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14               
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007         
500 pm HST Sat Aug 11 2007
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
120 KTS...140 MPH.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 145W       34 24  55(79)   3(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
15N 145W       50  3  42(45)   3(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
15N 145W       64  1  21(22)   2(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)  30(47)   2(49)   X(49)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   X(19)   X(19)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   6(19)   X(19)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   7(23)   1(24)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   7(18)   X(18)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   7(14)   1(15)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 138N 1439W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 138N 1439W 50 85   8(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 12 138N 1439W 64 60  15(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 
 24 144N 1461W 34  4  82(86)   7(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 144N 1461W 50  X  60(60)  13(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 144N 1461W 64  X  36(36)  13(49)   X(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 
 36 152N 1483W 34  X  15(15)  57(72)  11(83)   2(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 36 152N 1483W 50  X   2( 2)  42(44)  11(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 36 152N 1483W 64  X   1( 1)  22(23)   8(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
 48 159N 1505W 34  X   1( 1)  22(23)  34(57)  13(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 48 159N 1505W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  23(28)   9(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 48 159N 1505W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
 
 72 174N 1546W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  26(30)   6(36)   X(36)
 72 174N 1546W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 72 174N 1546W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 186N 1582W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   2(14)
 96 186N 1582W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 96 186N 1582W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 202N 1616W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 202N 1616W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 202N 1616W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    115    105      95      85      65      50      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KODAMA