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HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
1100 am HST Sat Aug 11 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...135 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 145W 34 1 55(56) 15(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
15N 145W 50 X 21(21) 15(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
15N 145W 64 X 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 29(35) 4(39) X(39)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13)
BUOY 50004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 134N 1426W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 134N 1426W 50 82 9(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 134N 1426W 64 49 18(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
24 139N 1448W 34 3 81(84) 8(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
24 139N 1448W 50 X 57(57) 14(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
24 139N 1448W 64 X 33(33) 12(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
36 145N 1470W 34 X 14(14) 57(71) 11(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84)
36 145N 1470W 50 X 2( 2) 40(42) 12(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56)
36 145N 1470W 64 X 1( 1) 20(21) 7(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
48 152N 1492W 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 34(56) 14(70) 1(71) X(71)
48 152N 1492W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 8(36) 1(37) X(37)
48 152N 1492W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
72 167N 1536W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 6(36) X(36)
72 167N 1536W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
72 167N 1536W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 181N 1574W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13)
96 181N 1574W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
96 181N 1574W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 195N 1604W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 195N 1604W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 195N 1604W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 105 95 85 65 50 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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