RSS Feeds
HI RSS FeedsFOPA12 PHFO 100248
PWSCP2
TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082009
500 pm HST Sun Aug 09 2009
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 5 13 18 31 40 49
TROP DEPRESSION 15 45 44 41 41 37 34
TROPICAL STORM 84 48 40 38 26 22 16
HURRICANE 2 2 3 3 2 1 1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 2 2 3 3 2 1 1
HUR CAT 2 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40KT 35KT 35KT 35KT 30KT 25KT 20KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HILO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) X(14) 1(15)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) X(14) 1(15)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) 1(11)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 51001 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA
- Get Storm Info
- Awareness
- Hurricane History
- About the CPHC
- Contact Us
- Pacific Region Links
NWS on Facebook
NWS on Twitter
Weather-Ready Nation
- NOAA
- » NWS
- » CPHC Home Page
- » Wind speed probabilities
- » CPHC Home Page
- » NWS
Wind speed probabilities