RSS Feeds
HI RSS FeedsFOPA12 PHFO 090849
PWSCP2
HURRICANE FELICIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082009
1100 pm HST Sat Aug 08 2009
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X 2 9 30 39 39
TROP DEPRESSION X 4 16 35 40 38 36
TROPICAL STORM 71 77 69 49 28 23 24
HURRICANE 30 19 14 7 2 1 1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 28 17 12 5 2 1 1
HUR CAT 2 2 2 2 1 X X X
HUR CAT 3 X X 1 X X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60KT 55KT 50KT 40KT 30KT 25KT 25KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 145W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 145W 50 43 X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
20N 145W 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BUOY 51004 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HILO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 11(19) X(19) 1(20)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KAHULUI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) X(17) 1(18)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 1(16) X(16)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) X(14)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
BUOY 51001 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON
- Get Storm Info
- Awareness
- Hurricane History
- About the CPHC
- Contact Us
- Pacific Region Links
NWS on Facebook
NWS on Twitter
Weather-Ready Nation
- NOAA
- » NWS
- » CPHC Home Page
- » Wind speed probabilities
- » CPHC Home Page
- » NWS
Wind speed probabilities