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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP072015.001.201510030836 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 030836
PWSCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1     
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP072015         
1100 pm HST Fri Oct 02 2015
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-C WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
15N 150W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   7(11)   6(17)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   9(19)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)  13(19)  16(35)   7(42)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   9(11)   9(20)   5(25)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)
20N 154W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
15N 155W       34 13  61(74)   7(81)   2(83)   3(86)   1(87)   X(87)
15N 155W       50  1  21(22)   7(29)   1(30)   7(37)   X(37)   X(37)
15N 155W       64  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
HILO           34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)  12(16)   8(24)   3(27)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)  13(17)   7(24)   3(27)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
BRADSHAW AAF   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
18N 156W       34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)  11(19)  29(48)   6(54)   1(55)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  10(13)   4(17)   1(18)
18N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)  19(28)   7(35)   3(38)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)   5(16)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)  12(17)   6(23)   3(26)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   3(15)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
KAHULUI        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   7( 8)   6(14)   4(18)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
HANA           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   2(14)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   4(13)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   3( 3)   9(12)  18(30)  23(53)   4(57)   1(58)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  10(16)   2(18)   1(19)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
15N 160W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   7(15)   3(18)   X(18)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
$$
                                         
FORECASTER BIRCHARD