Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP2.CP032009.002.0910190242 with times in UTC
Display as HST

FOPA12 PHFO 190242
PWSCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2     
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009         
0300 UTC MON OCT 19 2009                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 8.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       2       1       1       1       X       1
TROP DEPRESSION 38      26      12       6       5       4       4
TROPICAL STORM  60      69      70      56      50      36      44
HURRICANE        1       4      16      38      44      61      51
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       3      14      30      32      38      34
HUR CAT 2        X       X       2       6       9      16      12
HUR CAT 3        X       X       1       2       3       6       5
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       1       1
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    40KT    50KT    60KT    65KT    75KT    75KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 160W       34 10  31(41)   X(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
10N 160W       50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
15N 160W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  27(29)  20(49)   4(53)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  11(19)   2(21)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER DONALDSON