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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.9.0608220256 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 220256
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 pm HST Mon Aug 21 2006
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115  
KTS...135 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34 49  43(92)   4(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  7  63(70)   6(76)   1(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  1  39(40)   7(47)   1(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
15N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   5(12)   2(14)   1(15)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)  28(45)  13(58)   3(61)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  15(19)   8(27)   1(28)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   1(14)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   4(16)
25N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 152N 1686W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 152N 1686W 50 90   5(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 152N 1686W 64 64  13(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 
 24 166N 1700W 34 31  57(88)   6(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 166N 1700W 50  4  64(68)   9(77)   1(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 24 166N 1700W 64  1  39(40)  11(51)   1(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
 36 177N 1713W 34  2  41(43)  34(77)   6(83)   5(88)   1(89)   X(89)
 36 177N 1713W 50  X  15(15)  35(50)   8(58)   5(63)   2(65)   X(65)
 36 177N 1713W 64  X   4( 4)  26(30)   7(37)   3(40)   X(40)   1(41)
 
 48 184N 1722W 34  1  13(14)  40(54)  16(70)  11(81)   2(83)   X(83)
 48 184N 1722W 50  X   3( 3)  24(27)  15(42)   9(51)   1(52)   1(53)
 48 184N 1722W 64  X   1( 1)  12(13)   9(22)   8(30)   1(31)   X(31)
 
 
 72 199N 1742W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  16(26)  29(55)   8(63)   3(66)
 72 199N 1742W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)  18(26)   6(32)   2(34)
 72 199N 1742W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  10(13)   4(17)   X(17)
 
 
 96 210N 1764W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  20(24)  20(44)   6(50)
 96 210N 1764W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   8(16)   3(19)
 96 210N 1764W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
 
120 219N 1790W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)  10(29)
120 219N 1790W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
120 219N 1790W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    120    120     115     110     105     105     105
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER TANABE/NASH