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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 pm HST Mon Aug 21 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...135 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 49 43(92) 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 7 63(70) 6(76) 1(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 1 39(40) 7(47) 1(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
15N 175W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 2(14) 1(15)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 28(45) 13(58) 3(61)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15(19) 8(27) 1(28)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) 1(14)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 4(16)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 152N 1686W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 152N 1686W 50 90 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 152N 1686W 64 64 13(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
24 166N 1700W 34 31 57(88) 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 166N 1700W 50 4 64(68) 9(77) 1(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
24 166N 1700W 64 1 39(40) 11(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53)
36 177N 1713W 34 2 41(43) 34(77) 6(83) 5(88) 1(89) X(89)
36 177N 1713W 50 X 15(15) 35(50) 8(58) 5(63) 2(65) X(65)
36 177N 1713W 64 X 4( 4) 26(30) 7(37) 3(40) X(40) 1(41)
48 184N 1722W 34 1 13(14) 40(54) 16(70) 11(81) 2(83) X(83)
48 184N 1722W 50 X 3( 3) 24(27) 15(42) 9(51) 1(52) 1(53)
48 184N 1722W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 9(22) 8(30) 1(31) X(31)
72 199N 1742W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 16(26) 29(55) 8(63) 3(66)
72 199N 1742W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 18(26) 6(32) 2(34)
72 199N 1742W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 4(17) X(17)
96 210N 1764W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20(24) 20(44) 6(50)
96 210N 1764W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 3(19)
96 210N 1764W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
120 219N 1790W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 10(29)
120 219N 1790W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
120 219N 1790W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 120 120 115 110 105 105 105
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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