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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.8.0608212055 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 212055
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
1100 am HST Mon Aug 21 2006
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100  
KTS...115 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  5  72(77)  12(89)   2(91)   X(91)   1(92)   X(92)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X  46(46)  18(64)   2(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X  19(19)  20(39)   1(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   5(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  23(33)  10(43)   2(45)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)   1(16)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)
25N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 143N 1676W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 143N 1676W 50 90   5(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 143N 1676W 64 66  13(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 
 24 160N 1694W 34 15  73(88)   6(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 160N 1694W 50  2  64(66)   9(75)   1(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 24 160N 1694W 64  X  41(41)  11(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
 36 172N 1707W 34  2  43(45)  34(79)   6(85)   3(88)   1(89)   X(89)
 36 172N 1707W 50  X  14(14)  36(50)   9(59)   3(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 36 172N 1707W 64  X   4( 4)  25(29)   7(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
 48 182N 1717W 34  X  10(10)  40(50)  18(68)   9(77)   2(79)   X(79)
 48 182N 1717W 50  X   1( 1)  21(22)  17(39)   8(47)   1(48)   X(48)
 48 182N 1717W 64  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  10(19)   7(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
 
 72 197N 1735W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  18(28)  23(51)   8(59)   1(60)
 72 197N 1735W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   4(27)   X(27)
 72 197N 1735W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   1(12)
 
 
 96 213N 1754W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  16(21)  14(35)   2(37)
 96 213N 1754W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
 96 213N 1754W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
120 228N 1778W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   8(13)   5(18)
120 228N 1778W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 228N 1778W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    115    115     110     100      90      80      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KODAMA