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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 am HST Mon Aug 21 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100
KTS...115 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 5 72(77) 12(89) 2(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X 46(46) 18(64) 2(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X 19(19) 20(39) 1(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 23(33) 10(43) 2(45)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) 1(16)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 143N 1676W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 143N 1676W 50 90 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 143N 1676W 64 66 13(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 160N 1694W 34 15 73(88) 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 160N 1694W 50 2 64(66) 9(75) 1(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77)
24 160N 1694W 64 X 41(41) 11(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
36 172N 1707W 34 2 43(45) 34(79) 6(85) 3(88) 1(89) X(89)
36 172N 1707W 50 X 14(14) 36(50) 9(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62)
36 172N 1707W 64 X 4( 4) 25(29) 7(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
48 182N 1717W 34 X 10(10) 40(50) 18(68) 9(77) 2(79) X(79)
48 182N 1717W 50 X 1( 1) 21(22) 17(39) 8(47) 1(48) X(48)
48 182N 1717W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 7(26) X(26) X(26)
72 197N 1735W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 18(28) 23(51) 8(59) 1(60)
72 197N 1735W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 15(23) 4(27) X(27)
72 197N 1735W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 1(11) 1(12)
96 213N 1754W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 16(21) 14(35) 2(37)
96 213N 1754W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11)
96 213N 1754W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
120 228N 1778W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 5(18)
120 228N 1778W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 228N 1778W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 115 110 100 90 80 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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