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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.7.0608211435 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 211435
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 am HST Mon Aug 21 2006
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75   
KTS...85 MPH.                                           
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  3  39(42)  27(69)   5(74)   2(76)   X(76)   X(76)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X  10(10)  24(34)   4(38)   2(40)   X(40)   X(40)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   1( 1)  12(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   8(17)   1(18)   1(19)
15N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  29(37)  12(49)   2(51)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   6(18)   1(19)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)
 
MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 134N 1673W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 134N 1673W 50 85   7(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 134N 1673W 64 35  19(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 
 24 150N 1692W 34 13  73(86)   7(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 150N 1692W 50  1  61(62)  10(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 24 150N 1692W 64  X  27(27)  11(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
 36 163N 1708W 34  2  29(31)  44(75)   8(83)   4(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 36 163N 1708W 50  X   8( 8)  39(47)  10(57)   3(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 36 163N 1708W 64  X   2( 2)  18(20)   8(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 48 174N 1720W 34  X   5( 5)  36(41)  25(66)  11(77)   2(79)   X(79)
 48 174N 1720W 50  X   X( X)  16(16)  21(37)   9(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 48 174N 1720W 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   7(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
 
 72 193N 1741W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)  29(49)   9(58)   1(59)
 72 193N 1741W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  17(22)   4(26)   1(27)
 72 193N 1741W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
 
 96 213N 1758W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)  16(35)   2(37)
 96 213N 1758W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   1(11)
 96 213N 1758W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
120 230N 1774W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   5(21)
120 230N 1774W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
120 230N 1774W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     85     95     100     100      90      80      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOUSTON