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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 am HST Mon Aug 21 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75
KTS...85 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 3 39(42) 27(69) 5(74) 2(76) X(76) X(76)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X 10(10) 24(34) 4(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 8(17) 1(18) 1(19)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 29(37) 12(49) 2(51)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 1(19)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 134N 1673W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 134N 1673W 50 85 7(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
12 134N 1673W 64 35 19(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
24 150N 1692W 34 13 73(86) 7(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
24 150N 1692W 50 1 61(62) 10(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
24 150N 1692W 64 X 27(27) 11(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
36 163N 1708W 34 2 29(31) 44(75) 8(83) 4(87) X(87) X(87)
36 163N 1708W 50 X 8( 8) 39(47) 10(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60)
36 163N 1708W 64 X 2( 2) 18(20) 8(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30)
48 174N 1720W 34 X 5( 5) 36(41) 25(66) 11(77) 2(79) X(79)
48 174N 1720W 50 X X( X) 16(16) 21(37) 9(46) X(46) X(46)
48 174N 1720W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 7(23) X(23) X(23)
72 193N 1741W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 29(49) 9(58) 1(59)
72 193N 1741W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 17(22) 4(26) 1(27)
72 193N 1741W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11)
96 213N 1758W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 16(35) 2(37)
96 213N 1758W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11)
96 213N 1758W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
120 230N 1774W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 5(21)
120 230N 1774W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
120 230N 1774W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 95 100 100 90 80 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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