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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 pm HST Sun Aug 20 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70
KTS...80 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 1 17(18) 32(50) 6(56) 4(60) X(60) X(60)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 10(21) 3(24) 1(25)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 25(31) 14(45) 2(47)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) X(17)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 127N 1667W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 127N 1667W 50 86 7(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
12 127N 1667W 64 38 18(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
24 142N 1689W 34 12 74(86) 7(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
24 142N 1689W 50 1 61(62) 10(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74)
24 142N 1689W 64 X 29(29) 11(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
36 155N 1706W 34 1 29(30) 45(75) 9(84) 2(86) 1(87) X(87)
36 155N 1706W 50 X 7( 7) 40(47) 11(58) 2(60) 1(61) X(61)
36 155N 1706W 64 X 2( 2) 20(22) 9(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
48 168N 1720W 34 X 4( 4) 32(36) 28(64) 13(77) 2(79) X(79)
48 168N 1720W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 24(36) 10(46) 1(47) X(47)
48 168N 1720W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23)
72 187N 1742W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 30(49) 9(58) 1(59)
72 187N 1742W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 17(22) 5(27) X(27)
72 187N 1742W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11)
96 212N 1756W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 17(34) 2(36)
96 212N 1756W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11)
96 212N 1756W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 233N 1768W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20)
120 233N 1768W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 233N 1768W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 95 100 100 90 80 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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