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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.5.0608210246 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 210246
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 pm HST Sun Aug 20 2006
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65   
KTS...75 MPH.                                           
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   2( 2)  23(25)  15(40)   5(45)   1(46)   X(46)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  10(18)   4(22)   1(23)
15N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
15N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)  15(35)   2(37)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)   1(12)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 122N 1658W 34 80   9(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 122N 1658W 50 43  18(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 12 122N 1658W 64 26  12(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
 24 136N 1682W 34  X  69(69)  12(81)   1(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 24 136N 1682W 50  X  38(38)  13(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 24 136N 1682W 64  X  17(17)   8(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
 36 150N 1701W 34  X   8( 8)  54(62)  13(75)   4(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 36 150N 1701W 50  X   2( 2)  28(30)  12(42)   2(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 36 150N 1701W 64  X   X( X)  13(13)   7(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
 48 165N 1719W 34  X   1( 1)  17(18)  37(55)  14(69)   2(71)   1(72)
 48 165N 1719W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)   9(36)   1(37)   X(37)
 48 165N 1719W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   6(16)   X(16)   1(17)
 
 
 72 181N 1734W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  21(23)  26(49)   8(57)   1(58)
 72 181N 1734W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)   5(25)   X(25)
 72 181N 1734W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
 
 96 199N 1748W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  17(22)  15(37)   2(39)
 96 199N 1748W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   1(13)
 96 199N 1748W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
120 214N 1759W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  12(20)   5(25)
120 214N 1759W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
120 214N 1759W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     80      85      90      90      80      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MATSUDA