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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 pm HST Sun Aug 20 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65
KTS...75 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 15(40) 5(45) 1(46) X(46)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) 4(22) 1(23)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 15(35) 2(37)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 122N 1658W 34 80 9(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
12 122N 1658W 50 43 18(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
12 122N 1658W 64 26 12(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
24 136N 1682W 34 X 69(69) 12(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
24 136N 1682W 50 X 38(38) 13(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 136N 1682W 64 X 17(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
36 150N 1701W 34 X 8( 8) 54(62) 13(75) 4(79) X(79) X(79)
36 150N 1701W 50 X 2( 2) 28(30) 12(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44)
36 150N 1701W 64 X X( X) 13(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
48 165N 1719W 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 37(55) 14(69) 2(71) 1(72)
48 165N 1719W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 9(36) 1(37) X(37)
48 165N 1719W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) X(16) 1(17)
72 181N 1734W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 26(49) 8(57) 1(58)
72 181N 1734W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) 5(25) X(25)
72 181N 1734W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11)
96 199N 1748W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 15(37) 2(39)
96 199N 1748W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 1(13)
96 199N 1748W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
120 214N 1759W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 5(25)
120 214N 1759W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
120 214N 1759W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 80 85 90 90 80 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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