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TROPICAL STORM IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 am HST Sun Aug 20 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 14(22) 2(24) 1(25)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 11(35) 3(38)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 121N 1649W 34 48 24(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
12 121N 1649W 50 22 14(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
12 121N 1649W 64 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 133N 1678W 34 X 54(54) 16(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
24 133N 1678W 50 X 22(22) 14(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
24 133N 1678W 64 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
36 145N 1700W 34 X 3( 3) 49(52) 14(66) 2(68) 1(69) X(69)
36 145N 1700W 50 X 1( 1) 21(22) 10(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34)
36 145N 1700W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
48 159N 1720W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 36(47) 15(62) 1(63) 1(64)
48 159N 1720W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 8(27) X(27) 1(28)
48 159N 1720W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11)
72 184N 1749W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) 9(46) 1(47)
72 184N 1749W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 4(18) X(18)
72 184N 1749W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 208N 1771W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 17(27) 2(29)
96 208N 1771W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9)
96 208N 1771W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 227N 1782W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 5(18)
120 227N 1782W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 227N 1782W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 65 70 75 75 70 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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