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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.3.0608201450 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 201450
PWSCP2

TROPICAL STORM IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 am HST Sun Aug 20 2006
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  17(25)   8(33)   X(33)   X(33)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   5(23)   X(23)
15N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  14(32)   3(35)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
 
MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 116N 1632W 34 38  19(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 12 116N 1632W 50  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 116N 1632W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 128N 1661W 34  X  49(49)  15(64)   X(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 24 128N 1661W 50  X  11(11)   8(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 24 128N 1661W 64  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 140N 1686W 34  X   3( 3)  46(49)  12(61)   2(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 36 140N 1686W 50  X   X( X)  16(16)   8(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 140N 1686W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 154N 1710W 34  X   X( X)   9( 9)  35(44)  14(58)   1(59)   X(59)
 48 154N 1710W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   7(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 48 154N 1710W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 179N 1743W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  32(36)   9(45)   2(47)
 72 179N 1743W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   1(17)
 72 179N 1743W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 204N 1761W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  17(28)   3(31)
 96 204N 1761W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)
 96 204N 1761W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 226N 1772W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   6(19)
120 226N 1772W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
120 226N 1772W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     50      60      65      70      70      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MATSUDA