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TROPICAL STORM IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 am HST Sun Aug 20 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 5(23) X(23)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 14(32) 3(35)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 116N 1632W 34 38 19(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
12 116N 1632W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 116N 1632W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 128N 1661W 34 X 49(49) 15(64) X(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65)
24 128N 1661W 50 X 11(11) 8(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
24 128N 1661W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 140N 1686W 34 X 3( 3) 46(49) 12(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63)
36 140N 1686W 50 X X( X) 16(16) 8(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
36 140N 1686W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 154N 1710W 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 35(44) 14(58) 1(59) X(59)
48 154N 1710W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22)
48 154N 1710W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 179N 1743W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) 9(45) 2(47)
72 179N 1743W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) 1(17)
72 179N 1743W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
96 204N 1761W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) 3(31)
96 204N 1761W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
96 204N 1761W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 226N 1772W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 6(19)
120 226N 1772W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 226N 1772W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 50 60 65 70 70 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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