National Weather Service

• • RSS Feeds
• Get Storm Info
  • Products
  • Satellite
  • Radar
  • Analyses/Forecasts
  • Hydrology
  • E-mail Updates
  • Help with Advisories
• Awareness
  • Preparedness
  • Weather School
  • Storm Names
  • Saffir-Simpson Scale
  • Glossary
  • Acronyms
  • FAQ
  • Breakpoints
• Hurricane History
  • Annual Summaries
  • Product Archive
  • Climatology
• About the CPHC
  • Our Mission
  • Our Office
  • News Items
  • HI RSS Feeds
• Contact Us
  • Webmaster
• Pacific Region Links
  • Regional HQ
  • WFO Honolulu
  • WFO Guam
  • WSO Pago Pago
  • Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
  • International Tsunami Information Center

NWS on Facebook

NWS on Twitter

Weather-Ready Nation

• NOAA
  • » NWS
    • » CPHC Home Page
      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA12 PHFO 261503
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 am HST Sat Aug 26 2006
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 177.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140  
KTS...160 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 175W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 183N 1792W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 183N 1792W 50 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 183N 1792W 64 74  12(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 
 24 178N 1789E 34 44  46(90)   6(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 178N 1789E 50  8  66(74)  10(84)   1(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 24 178N 1789E 64  1  46(47)  12(59)   2(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 
 36 174N 1770E 34  3  33(36)  41(77)  10(87)   2(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 36 174N 1770E 50  X  13(13)  42(55)  12(67)   4(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 36 174N 1770E 64  X   4( 4)  29(33)  11(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
 48 172N 1749E 34  X   4( 4)  29(33)  33(66)  15(81)   1(82)   X(82)
 48 172N 1749E 50  X   X( X)  13(13)  30(43)  16(59)   1(60)   X(60)
 48 172N 1749E 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)  20(24)  13(37)   1(38)   X(38)
 
 
 72 172N 1709E 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  44(52)  14(66)   3(69)
 72 172N 1709E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  26(28)  10(38)   2(40)
 72 172N 1709E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   7(22)   1(23)
 
 
 96 189N 1678E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  30(43)  10(53)
 96 189N 1678E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   6(26)
 96 189N 1678E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)
 
 
120 217N 1648E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  17(29)
120 217N 1648E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
120 217N 1648E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    135    140     140     140     140     135     130
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWNING