FOPA12 PHFO 260248
PWSCP2
HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 pm HST Fri Aug 25 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 176.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 175W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 175W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 193N 1772W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 193N 1772W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 193N 1772W 64 71 11(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 190N 1786W 34 68 24(92) 4(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 190N 1786W 50 26 48(74) 8(82) 3(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86)
24 190N 1786W 64 5 41(46) 10(56) 3(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
36 185N 1799E 34 7 43(50) 30(80) 8(88) 3(91) 1(92) X(92)
36 185N 1799E 50 1 20(21) 34(55) 11(66) 4(70) 1(71) X(71)
36 185N 1799E 64 X 7( 7) 25(32) 11(43) 3(46) 1(47) X(47)
48 181N 1782E 34 1 9(10) 31(41) 26(67) 14(81) 2(83) X(83)
48 181N 1782E 50 X 2( 2) 17(19) 25(44) 13(57) 2(59) X(59)
48 181N 1782E 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 12(35) 1(36) X(36)
72 181N 1753E 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 36(56) 12(68) 3(71)
72 181N 1753E 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 24(30) 9(39) 2(41)
72 181N 1753E 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 7(22) 1(23)
96 195N 1727E 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 26(46) 8(54)
96 195N 1727E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 4(25)
96 195N 1727E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11)
120 225N 1703E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 13(27)
120 225N 1703E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
120 225N 1703E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 125 125 130 135 130 125 120
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BURKE