FOPA12 PHFO 252054
PWSCP2
HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 am HST Fri Aug 25 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 175.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140
KTS...160 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 175W 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 175W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 193N 1762W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 193N 1762W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 193N 1762W 64 73 10(83) 1(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85)
24 192N 1777W 34 70 23(93) 3(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 192N 1777W 50 25 50(75) 8(83) 2(85) 1(86) 1(87) X(87)
24 192N 1777W 64 4 43(47) 10(57) 2(59) 1(60) 1(61) X(61)
36 187N 1792W 34 7 43(50) 31(81) 7(88) 4(92) X(92) X(92)
36 187N 1792W 50 1 20(21) 35(56) 11(67) 4(71) 2(73) X(73)
36 187N 1792W 64 X 7( 7) 27(34) 10(44) 4(48) 1(49) X(49)
48 181N 1792E 34 1 8( 9) 33(42) 25(67) 14(81) 3(84) X(84)
48 181N 1792E 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 25(45) 14(59) 2(61) X(61)
48 181N 1792E 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) 11(36) 2(38) X(38)
72 178N 1763E 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 37(56) 13(69) 3(72)
72 178N 1763E 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 24(30) 10(40) 2(42)
72 178N 1763E 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 7(23) 1(24)
96 197N 1735E 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 31(45) 9(54)
96 197N 1735E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 6(27)
96 197N 1735E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12)
120 228N 1713E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 16(30)
120 228N 1713E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
120 228N 1713E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 135 135 140 140 135 135 130
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BURKE