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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 am HST Fri Aug 25 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 175.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140
KTS...160 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 175W 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 175W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 64 68 1(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 195N 1761W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 195N 1761W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 195N 1761W 64 71 10(81) 1(82) X(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
24 195N 1774W 34 77 17(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) 1(98) X(98)
24 195N 1774W 50 36 39(75) 8(83) 2(85) 1(86) 1(87) X(87)
24 195N 1774W 64 7 39(46) 10(56) 2(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
36 191N 1788W 34 12 44(56) 25(81) 7(88) 4(92) X(92) X(92)
36 191N 1788W 50 1 24(25) 31(56) 9(65) 4(69) 1(70) X(70)
36 191N 1788W 64 X 9( 9) 25(34) 9(43) 3(46) X(46) X(46)
48 184N 1798E 34 2 10(12) 33(45) 22(67) 13(80) 2(82) X(82)
48 184N 1798E 50 X 2( 2) 20(22) 21(43) 11(54) 2(56) 1(57)
48 184N 1798E 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 15(24) 9(33) 1(34) X(34)
72 176N 1771E 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 33(54) 10(64) 3(67)
72 176N 1771E 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 19(25) 8(33) 1(34)
72 176N 1771E 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) X(17)
96 189N 1743E 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 23(41) 6(47)
96 189N 1743E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17)
96 189N 1743E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
120 220N 1721E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 10(21)
120 220N 1721E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 220N 1721E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 135 130 125 120 110 100 90
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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