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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.22.0608250809 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 250809
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
1100 pm HST Thu Aug 24 2006
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 174.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140  
KTS...160 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 175W       34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
20N 175W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 175W       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 175W       64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 195N 1755W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 195N 1755W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 195N 1755W 64 91   4(95)   X(95)   X(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 
 24 197N 1769W 34 72  20(92)   4(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 197N 1769W 50 46  35(81)   5(86)   2(88)   1(89)   X(89)   1(90)
 24 197N 1769W 64 13  45(58)   7(65)   3(68)   2(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 
 36 195N 1781W 34 19  43(62)  19(81)   6(87)   4(91)   1(92)   X(92)
 36 195N 1781W 50  3  35(38)  23(61)   9(70)   5(75)   1(76)   X(76)
 36 195N 1781W 64  X  19(19)  23(42)   9(51)   4(55)   1(56)   X(56)
 
 48 188N 1795W 34  3  12(15)  29(44)  23(67)  13(80)   3(83)   1(84)
 48 188N 1795W 50  X   4( 4)  20(24)  22(46)  13(59)   2(61)   1(62)
 48 188N 1795W 64  X   1( 1)  11(12)  16(28)  12(40)   1(41)   1(42)
 
 
 72 178N 1778E 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)  35(54)  13(67)   4(71)
 72 178N 1778E 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  23(30)  10(40)   3(43)
 72 178N 1778E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   8(24)   1(25)
 
 
 96 184N 1752E 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  20(23)  25(48)   8(56)
 96 184N 1752E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   5(28)
 96 184N 1752E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   2(13)
 
 
120 211N 1734E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)  16(33)
120 211N 1734E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)
120 211N 1734E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    140    140     140     140     135     135     130
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER DONALDSON