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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 pm HST Thu Aug 24 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 174.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140
KTS...160 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 175W 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
20N 175W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 195N 1755W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 195N 1755W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 195N 1755W 64 91 4(95) X(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96)
24 197N 1769W 34 72 20(92) 4(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 197N 1769W 50 46 35(81) 5(86) 2(88) 1(89) X(89) 1(90)
24 197N 1769W 64 13 45(58) 7(65) 3(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70)
36 195N 1781W 34 19 43(62) 19(81) 6(87) 4(91) 1(92) X(92)
36 195N 1781W 50 3 35(38) 23(61) 9(70) 5(75) 1(76) X(76)
36 195N 1781W 64 X 19(19) 23(42) 9(51) 4(55) 1(56) X(56)
48 188N 1795W 34 3 12(15) 29(44) 23(67) 13(80) 3(83) 1(84)
48 188N 1795W 50 X 4( 4) 20(24) 22(46) 13(59) 2(61) 1(62)
48 188N 1795W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 16(28) 12(40) 1(41) 1(42)
72 178N 1778E 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 35(54) 13(67) 4(71)
72 178N 1778E 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 23(30) 10(40) 3(43)
72 178N 1778E 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 8(24) 1(25)
96 184N 1752E 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20(23) 25(48) 8(56)
96 184N 1752E 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 15(23) 5(28)
96 184N 1752E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13)
120 211N 1734E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 16(33)
120 211N 1734E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13)
120 211N 1734E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 140 140 140 140 135 135 130
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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