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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.21.0608250248 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 250248
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 pm HST Thu Aug 24 2006
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 173.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125  
KTS...145 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 175W       34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)
 
20N 175W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 175W       50 80  12(92)   2(94)   X(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)
20N 175W       64 61  20(81)   3(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 
25N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 195N 1745W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 195N 1745W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 195N 1745W 64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
 24 199N 1760W 34 60  31(91)   4(95)   2(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 199N 1760W 50 26  51(77)   6(83)   3(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 24 199N 1760W 64  9  49(58)   8(66)   1(67)   2(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 
 36 199N 1774W 34  8  49(57)  23(80)   7(87)   4(91)   X(91)   1(92)
 36 199N 1774W 50  1  29(30)  28(58)  11(69)   4(73)   1(74)   1(75)
 36 199N 1774W 64  X  15(15)  26(41)   8(49)   3(52)   1(53)   X(53)
 
 48 195N 1789W 34  2  11(13)  32(45)  22(67)  13(80)   2(82)   1(83)
 48 195N 1789W 50  X   3( 3)  21(24)  21(45)  11(56)   2(58)   1(59)
 48 195N 1789W 64  X   1( 1)  12(13)  15(28)  10(38)   2(40)   X(40)
 
 
 72 186N 1786E 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  18(23)  32(55)  10(65)   3(68)
 72 186N 1786E 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  20(27)   9(36)   1(37)
 72 186N 1786E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   6(21)   1(22)
 
 
 96 190N 1761E 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  19(24)  23(47)   6(53)
 96 190N 1761E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  12(20)   3(23)
 96 190N 1761E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)
 
 
120 204N 1740E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  16(22)  11(33)
120 204N 1740E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)
120 204N 1740E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    125    125     125     120     115     115     115
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BURKE/KODAMA