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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 pm HST Thu Aug 24 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 173.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 175W 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
20N 175W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 175W 50 80 12(92) 2(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
20N 175W 64 61 20(81) 3(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
25N 175W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 195N 1745W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 195N 1745W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 195N 1745W 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
24 199N 1760W 34 60 31(91) 4(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 199N 1760W 50 26 51(77) 6(83) 3(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
24 199N 1760W 64 9 49(58) 8(66) 1(67) 2(69) X(69) X(69)
36 199N 1774W 34 8 49(57) 23(80) 7(87) 4(91) X(91) 1(92)
36 199N 1774W 50 1 29(30) 28(58) 11(69) 4(73) 1(74) 1(75)
36 199N 1774W 64 X 15(15) 26(41) 8(49) 3(52) 1(53) X(53)
48 195N 1789W 34 2 11(13) 32(45) 22(67) 13(80) 2(82) 1(83)
48 195N 1789W 50 X 3( 3) 21(24) 21(45) 11(56) 2(58) 1(59)
48 195N 1789W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 15(28) 10(38) 2(40) X(40)
72 186N 1786E 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 32(55) 10(65) 3(68)
72 186N 1786E 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 20(27) 9(36) 1(37)
72 186N 1786E 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 6(21) 1(22)
96 190N 1761E 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 19(24) 23(47) 6(53)
96 190N 1761E 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 3(23)
96 190N 1761E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10)
120 204N 1740E 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 16(22) 11(33)
120 204N 1740E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12)
120 204N 1740E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 125 125 125 120 115 115 115
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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