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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.20.0608242047 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 242047
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
1100 am HST Thu Aug 24 2006
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 173.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125  
KTS...145 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 175W       34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
 
20N 175W       34 76  18(94)   2(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
20N 175W       50 42  33(75)   4(79)   2(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)
20N 175W       64 14  36(50)   6(56)   1(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 
25N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 192N 1743W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 192N 1743W 50 91   5(96)   X(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 192N 1743W 64 72   9(81)   1(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 
 24 196N 1756W 34 61  29(90)   5(95)   1(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 196N 1756W 50 20  49(69)   9(78)   2(80)   1(81)   1(82)   X(82)
 24 196N 1756W 64  6  42(48)  10(58)   1(59)   2(61)   1(62)   X(62)
 
 36 197N 1770W 34  6  46(52)  27(79)   7(86)   4(90)   1(91)   X(91)
 36 197N 1770W 50  1  21(22)  30(52)  11(63)   4(67)   1(68)   1(69)
 36 197N 1770W 64  X  10(10)  25(35)   8(43)   4(47)   1(48)   X(48)
 
 48 196N 1784W 34  2  12(14)  34(48)  20(68)  13(81)   2(83)   X(83)
 48 196N 1784W 50  X   3( 3)  21(24)  18(42)  12(54)   2(56)   1(57)
 48 196N 1784W 64  X   1( 1)  11(12)  13(25)   9(34)   1(35)   1(36)
 
 
 72 187N 1790E 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  16(22)  33(55)  11(66)   3(69)
 72 187N 1790E 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  20(26)   8(34)   1(35)
 72 187N 1790E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   5(19)   X(19)
 
 
 96 189N 1763E 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  19(22)  23(45)   7(52)
 96 189N 1763E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  12(18)   4(22)
 96 189N 1763E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)
 
 
120 201N 1740E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)  11(32)
120 201N 1740E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)
120 201N 1740E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    125    125     125     120     115     115     115
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KODAMA