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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 am HST Thu Aug 24 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 173.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 175W 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
20N 175W 34 76 18(94) 2(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
20N 175W 50 42 33(75) 4(79) 2(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
20N 175W 64 14 36(50) 6(56) 1(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58)
25N 175W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 192N 1743W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 192N 1743W 50 91 5(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 192N 1743W 64 72 9(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 196N 1756W 34 61 29(90) 5(95) 1(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97)
24 196N 1756W 50 20 49(69) 9(78) 2(80) 1(81) 1(82) X(82)
24 196N 1756W 64 6 42(48) 10(58) 1(59) 2(61) 1(62) X(62)
36 197N 1770W 34 6 46(52) 27(79) 7(86) 4(90) 1(91) X(91)
36 197N 1770W 50 1 21(22) 30(52) 11(63) 4(67) 1(68) 1(69)
36 197N 1770W 64 X 10(10) 25(35) 8(43) 4(47) 1(48) X(48)
48 196N 1784W 34 2 12(14) 34(48) 20(68) 13(81) 2(83) X(83)
48 196N 1784W 50 X 3( 3) 21(24) 18(42) 12(54) 2(56) 1(57)
48 196N 1784W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 13(25) 9(34) 1(35) 1(36)
72 187N 1790E 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 16(22) 33(55) 11(66) 3(69)
72 187N 1790E 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20(26) 8(34) 1(35)
72 187N 1790E 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 5(19) X(19)
96 189N 1763E 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 19(22) 23(45) 7(52)
96 189N 1763E 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 12(18) 4(22)
96 189N 1763E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9)
120 201N 1740E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 11(32)
120 201N 1740E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
120 201N 1740E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 125 125 125 120 115 115 115
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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