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TROPICAL STORM IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 pm HST Sat Aug 19 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 160W 34 17 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 29(37) 4(41) 1(42)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) 1(14)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 2(14)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 5(22)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 110N 1607W 34 42 19(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
12 110N 1607W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 110N 1607W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 117N 1633W 34 1 48(49) 14(63) X(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64)
24 117N 1633W 50 X 12(12) 7(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
24 117N 1633W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 128N 1661W 34 X 3( 3) 45(48) 12(60) 3(63) X(63) X(63)
36 128N 1661W 50 X X( X) 15(15) 9(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
36 128N 1661W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 139N 1681W 34 X X( X) 15(15) 30(45) 13(58) 1(59) X(59)
48 139N 1681W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22)
48 139N 1681W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 167N 1713W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 31(35) 9(44) 3(47)
72 167N 1713W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) 1(17)
72 167N 1713W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
96 193N 1730W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) 4(32)
96 193N 1730W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
96 193N 1730W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 224N 1736W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17)
120 224N 1736W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 224N 1736W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 50 60 65 70 70 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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