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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.2.0608200853 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 200853
PWSCP2

TROPICAL STORM IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
1100 pm HST Sat Aug 19 2006
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 160W       34 17   1(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  29(37)   4(41)   1(42)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   1(14)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   2(14)
15N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)   5(22)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 110N 1607W 34 42  19(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 12 110N 1607W 50  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 110N 1607W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 117N 1633W 34  1  48(49)  14(63)   X(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 24 117N 1633W 50  X  12(12)   7(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 24 117N 1633W 64  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 128N 1661W 34  X   3( 3)  45(48)  12(60)   3(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 36 128N 1661W 50  X   X( X)  15(15)   9(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 128N 1661W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 139N 1681W 34  X   X( X)  15(15)  30(45)  13(58)   1(59)   X(59)
 48 139N 1681W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   7(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 48 139N 1681W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 167N 1713W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  31(35)   9(44)   3(47)
 72 167N 1713W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   1(17)
 72 167N 1713W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 193N 1730W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  17(28)   4(32)
 96 193N 1730W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)
 96 193N 1730W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 224N 1736W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   7(17)
120 224N 1736W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 224N 1736W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     50      60      65      70      70      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER NASH