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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.19.0608241430 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 241430
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 am HST Thu Aug 24 2006
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 172.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110  
KTS...125 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 175W       34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
20N 175W       34 63  26(89)   5(94)   2(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
20N 175W       50 16  47(63)   9(72)   3(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)
20N 175W       64  2  26(28)  10(38)   2(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 
25N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 191N 1737W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 191N 1737W 50 93   3(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 191N 1737W 64 58  11(69)   1(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 
 24 196N 1750W 34 69  23(92)   4(96)   X(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 196N 1750W 50 22  46(68)   8(76)   2(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 24 196N 1750W 64  3  34(37)  10(47)   1(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 
 36 197N 1763W 34 12  48(60)  20(80)   7(87)   3(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 36 197N 1763W 50  1  24(25)  27(52)   8(60)   4(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 36 197N 1763W 64  X   8( 8)  19(27)   6(33)   2(35)   1(36)   X(36)
 
 48 197N 1778W 34  2  14(16)  32(48)  20(68)  11(79)   1(80)   1(81)
 48 197N 1778W 50  X   3( 3)  18(21)  18(39)  10(49)   1(50)   X(50)
 48 197N 1778W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   6(24)   X(24)   1(25)
 
 
 72 190N 1793E 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)  29(48)   8(56)   2(58)
 72 190N 1793E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   5(25)   X(25)
 72 190N 1793E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 
 
 96 189N 1770E 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  18(21)  16(37)   2(39)
 96 189N 1770E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   2(13)
 96 189N 1770E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
120 198N 1740E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   5(18)
120 198N 1740E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
120 198N 1740E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    110    105     105     100      90      85      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD