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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 pm HST Wed Aug 23 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 172.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100
KTS...115 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 175W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12)
20N 175W 34 43 35(78) 10(88) 4(92) 2(94) X(94) X(94)
20N 175W 50 6 37(43) 17(60) 4(64) 3(67) X(67) X(67)
20N 175W 64 1 13(14) 15(29) 5(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
25N 175W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 190N 1733W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 190N 1733W 50 92 3(95) 1(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97)
12 190N 1733W 64 54 12(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
24 194N 1744W 34 75 18(93) 3(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 194N 1744W 50 33 36(69) 6(75) 3(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
24 194N 1744W 64 5 33(38) 9(47) 2(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50)
36 196N 1756W 34 21 42(63) 18(81) 6(87) 3(90) 1(91) X(91)
36 196N 1756W 50 2 26(28) 24(52) 9(61) 4(65) X(65) X(65)
36 196N 1756W 64 X 9( 9) 18(27) 6(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36)
48 196N 1771W 34 3 16(19) 28(47) 20(67) 11(78) 2(80) X(80)
48 196N 1771W 50 X 3( 3) 18(21) 18(39) 9(48) 1(49) X(49)
48 196N 1771W 64 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 7(25) X(25) X(25)
72 191N 1800E 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 14(19) 29(48) 9(57) 1(58)
72 191N 1800E 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 6(26) 1(27)
72 191N 1800E 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11)
96 187N 1768E 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 18(32) 2(34)
96 187N 1768E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12)
96 187N 1768E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 185N 1736E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 5(16)
120 185N 1736E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 185N 1736E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 100 105 105 100 90 85 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
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