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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.18.0608240830 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 240830
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
1100 pm HST Wed Aug 23 2006
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 172.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100  
KTS...115 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 175W       34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
20N 175W       34 43  35(78)  10(88)   4(92)   2(94)   X(94)   X(94)
20N 175W       50  6  37(43)  17(60)   4(64)   3(67)   X(67)   X(67)
20N 175W       64  1  13(14)  15(29)   5(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
25N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 190N 1733W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 190N 1733W 50 92   3(95)   1(96)   X(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 190N 1733W 64 54  12(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 
 24 194N 1744W 34 75  18(93)   3(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 194N 1744W 50 33  36(69)   6(75)   3(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 24 194N 1744W 64  5  33(38)   9(47)   2(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 
 36 196N 1756W 34 21  42(63)  18(81)   6(87)   3(90)   1(91)   X(91)
 36 196N 1756W 50  2  26(28)  24(52)   9(61)   4(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 36 196N 1756W 64  X   9( 9)  18(27)   6(33)   3(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
 48 196N 1771W 34  3  16(19)  28(47)  20(67)  11(78)   2(80)   X(80)
 48 196N 1771W 50  X   3( 3)  18(21)  18(39)   9(48)   1(49)   X(49)
 48 196N 1771W 64  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   7(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
 
 72 191N 1800E 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  14(19)  29(48)   9(57)   1(58)
 72 191N 1800E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   6(26)   1(27)
 72 191N 1800E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
 
 96 187N 1768E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  18(32)   2(34)
 96 187N 1768E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)
 96 187N 1768E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
120 185N 1736E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   5(16)
120 185N 1736E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
120 185N 1736E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    100    105     105     100      90      85      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD