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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 pm HST Wed Aug 23 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 175W 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)
20N 175W 34 10 41(51) 23(74) 8(82) 5(87) X(87) X(87)
20N 175W 50 1 16(17) 26(43) 9(52) 4(56) 1(57) X(57)
20N 175W 64 X 5( 5) 15(20) 7(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
25N 175W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 188N 1725W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 188N 1725W 50 90 3(93) 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 188N 1725W 64 53 10(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
24 194N 1736W 34 72 19(91) 4(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 194N 1736W 50 23 40(63) 7(70) 2(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73)
24 194N 1736W 64 4 28(32) 8(40) 1(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
36 199N 1749W 34 12 43(55) 22(77) 7(84) 4(88) X(88) X(88)
36 199N 1749W 50 1 19(20) 26(46) 8(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58)
36 199N 1749W 64 X 6( 6) 17(23) 6(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
48 200N 1763W 34 2 14(16) 31(47) 17(64) 11(75) 2(77) 1(78)
48 200N 1763W 50 X 3( 3) 16(19) 16(35) 8(43) 1(44) X(44)
48 200N 1763W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 6(21) 1(22) X(22)
72 196N 1791W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 14(20) 27(47) 8(55) 2(57)
72 196N 1791W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 4(23) 1(24)
72 196N 1791W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10)
96 182N 1777E 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 17(28) 3(31)
96 182N 1777E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
96 182N 1777E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
120 175N 1745E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13)
120 175N 1745E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
120 175N 1745E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 90 90 90 85 75 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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