Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.17.0608240245 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 240245
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 pm HST Wed Aug 23 2006
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90   
KTS...105 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 175W       34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
20N 175W       34 10  41(51)  23(74)   8(82)   5(87)   X(87)   X(87)
20N 175W       50  1  16(17)  26(43)   9(52)   4(56)   1(57)   X(57)
20N 175W       64  X   5( 5)  15(20)   7(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
25N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 188N 1725W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 188N 1725W 50 90   3(93)   1(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 188N 1725W 64 53  10(63)   2(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 
 24 194N 1736W 34 72  19(91)   4(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 194N 1736W 50 23  40(63)   7(70)   2(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 24 194N 1736W 64  4  28(32)   8(40)   1(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
 36 199N 1749W 34 12  43(55)  22(77)   7(84)   4(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 36 199N 1749W 50  1  19(20)  26(46)   8(54)   4(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 199N 1749W 64  X   6( 6)  17(23)   6(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
 48 200N 1763W 34  2  14(16)  31(47)  17(64)  11(75)   2(77)   1(78)
 48 200N 1763W 50  X   3( 3)  16(19)  16(35)   8(43)   1(44)   X(44)
 48 200N 1763W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)   6(21)   1(22)   X(22)
 
 
 72 196N 1791W 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  14(20)  27(47)   8(55)   2(57)
 72 196N 1791W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   4(23)   1(24)
 72 196N 1791W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 
 
 96 182N 1777E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  17(28)   3(31)
 96 182N 1777E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)
 96 182N 1777E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 175N 1745E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)
120 175N 1745E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
120 175N 1745E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     90      90      90      85      75      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER DONALDSON