Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.16.0608232044 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 232044
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
1100 am HST Wed Aug 23 2006
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90   
KTS...105 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34  7   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
15N 175W       34  2   1( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
20N 175W       34  3  27(30)  30(60)  14(74)   8(82)   1(83)   X(83)
20N 175W       50  X   6( 6)  22(28)  14(42)   5(47)   1(48)   X(48)
20N 175W       64  X   1( 1)  11(12)   8(20)   3(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 185N 1718W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 185N 1718W 50 91   4(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 185N 1718W 64 54  12(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 
 24 191N 1730W 34 68  22(90)   4(94)   1(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 191N 1730W 50 18  44(62)   7(69)   2(71)   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 24 191N 1730W 64  2  30(32)   8(40)   2(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
 36 197N 1742W 34 11  46(57)  21(78)   6(84)   4(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 36 197N 1742W 50  1  20(21)  26(47)   8(55)   3(58)   1(59)   X(59)
 36 197N 1742W 64  X   6( 6)  16(22)   6(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)
 
 48 200N 1756W 34  2  15(17)  31(48)  17(65)  11(76)   2(78)   X(78)
 48 200N 1756W 50  X   3( 3)  16(19)  15(34)   9(43)   1(44)   X(44)
 48 200N 1756W 64  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   9(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 
 72 199N 1784W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  14(21)  27(48)   8(56)   X(56)
 72 199N 1784W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   5(24)   X(24)
 72 199N 1784W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 96 186N 1790E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)  16(32)   3(35)
 96 186N 1790E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)
 96 186N 1790E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
120 177N 1761E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)
120 177N 1761E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
120 177N 1761E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     90      90      90      85      75      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KODAMA