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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 am HST Wed Aug 23 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 7 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
15N 175W 34 2 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11)
20N 175W 34 3 27(30) 30(60) 14(74) 8(82) 1(83) X(83)
20N 175W 50 X 6( 6) 22(28) 14(42) 5(47) 1(48) X(48)
20N 175W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 185N 1718W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 185N 1718W 50 91 4(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 185N 1718W 64 54 12(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
24 191N 1730W 34 68 22(90) 4(94) 1(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96)
24 191N 1730W 50 18 44(62) 7(69) 2(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73)
24 191N 1730W 64 2 30(32) 8(40) 2(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
36 197N 1742W 34 11 46(57) 21(78) 6(84) 4(88) X(88) X(88)
36 197N 1742W 50 1 20(21) 26(47) 8(55) 3(58) 1(59) X(59)
36 197N 1742W 64 X 6( 6) 16(22) 6(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31)
48 200N 1756W 34 2 15(17) 31(48) 17(65) 11(76) 2(78) X(78)
48 200N 1756W 50 X 3( 3) 16(19) 15(34) 9(43) 1(44) X(44)
48 200N 1756W 64 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
72 199N 1784W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 27(48) 8(56) X(56)
72 199N 1784W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 5(24) X(24)
72 199N 1784W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
96 186N 1790E 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 16(32) 3(35)
96 186N 1790E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9)
96 186N 1790E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
120 177N 1761E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15)
120 177N 1761E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 177N 1761E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 90 90 90 85 75 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA
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