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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 am HST Wed Aug 23 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 175W 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11)
20N 175W 34 2 20(22) 32(54) 15(69) 9(78) 2(80) X(80)
20N 175W 50 X 4( 4) 21(25) 14(39) 6(45) 2(47) X(47)
20N 175W 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19) 4(23) 1(24) X(24)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 183N 1715W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 183N 1715W 50 89 5(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 183N 1715W 64 54 13(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
24 190N 1727W 34 60 30(90) 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 190N 1727W 50 15 50(65) 8(73) 2(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76)
24 190N 1727W 64 2 32(34) 9(43) 1(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46)
36 197N 1739W 34 8 46(54) 24(78) 6(84) 4(88) 1(89) X(89)
36 197N 1739W 50 1 19(20) 29(49) 7(56) 4(60) 1(61) X(61)
36 197N 1739W 64 X 7( 7) 17(24) 5(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
48 203N 1750W 34 2 17(19) 34(53) 15(68) 10(78) 2(80) X(80)
48 203N 1750W 50 X 3( 3) 20(23) 14(37) 8(45) 1(46) X(46)
48 203N 1750W 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
72 205N 1776W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 14(24) 25(49) 7(56) 1(57)
72 205N 1776W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 14(20) 4(24) X(24)
72 205N 1776W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
96 195N 1798W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 18(21) 14(35) 2(37)
96 195N 1798W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10)
96 195N 1798W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 185N 1783E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 4(19)
120 185N 1783E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 185N 1783E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 95 95 90 85 75 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/HOUSTON
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