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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.15.0608231430 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 231430
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 am HST Wed Aug 23 2006
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90   
KTS...105 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 175W       34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
20N 175W       34  2  20(22)  32(54)  15(69)   9(78)   2(80)   X(80)
20N 175W       50  X   4( 4)  21(25)  14(39)   6(45)   2(47)   X(47)
20N 175W       64  X   1( 1)  10(11)   8(19)   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 183N 1715W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 183N 1715W 50 89   5(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 183N 1715W 64 54  13(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 
 24 190N 1727W 34 60  30(90)   5(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 190N 1727W 50 15  50(65)   8(73)   2(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 24 190N 1727W 64  2  32(34)   9(43)   1(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
 36 197N 1739W 34  8  46(54)  24(78)   6(84)   4(88)   1(89)   X(89)
 36 197N 1739W 50  1  19(20)  29(49)   7(56)   4(60)   1(61)   X(61)
 36 197N 1739W 64  X   7( 7)  17(24)   5(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
 48 203N 1750W 34  2  17(19)  34(53)  15(68)  10(78)   2(80)   X(80)
 48 203N 1750W 50  X   3( 3)  20(23)  14(37)   8(45)   1(46)   X(46)
 48 203N 1750W 64  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   8(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 
 72 205N 1776W 34  X   2( 2)   8(10)  14(24)  25(49)   7(56)   1(57)
 72 205N 1776W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  14(20)   4(24)   X(24)
 72 205N 1776W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 96 195N 1798W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  18(21)  14(35)   2(37)
 96 195N 1798W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 96 195N 1798W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 185N 1783E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   4(19)
120 185N 1783E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
120 185N 1783E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     95      95      90      85      75      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD/HOUSTON