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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 pm HST Tue Aug 22 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 175W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 1(15)
20N 175W 34 1 9(10) 24(34) 19(53) 15(68) 3(71) 1(72)
20N 175W 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 14(24) 12(36) 3(39) 1(40)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) 2(17) X(17)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 174N 1710W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 174N 1710W 50 89 5(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 174N 1710W 64 52 12(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
24 183N 1721W 34 62 28(90) 4(94) 1(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96)
24 183N 1721W 50 15 49(64) 7(71) 2(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75)
24 183N 1721W 64 2 29(31) 8(39) 1(40) 1(41) 1(42) X(42)
36 190N 1732W 34 10 47(57) 21(78) 6(84) 4(88) 1(89) X(89)
36 190N 1732W 50 1 21(22) 26(48) 7(55) 3(58) 1(59) 1(60)
36 190N 1732W 64 X 6( 6) 17(23) 5(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31)
48 197N 1742W 34 3 19(22) 31(53) 15(68) 9(77) 2(79) 1(80)
48 197N 1742W 50 X 4( 4) 18(22) 14(36) 8(44) 2(46) X(46)
48 197N 1742W 64 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21)
72 205N 1760W 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 18(34) 21(55) 7(62) 1(63)
72 205N 1760W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 14(24) 3(27) 1(28)
72 205N 1760W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11)
96 206N 1773W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 23(39) 9(48) 2(50)
96 206N 1773W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 5(18) 1(19)
96 206N 1773W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
120 204N 1785W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 13(36) 3(39)
120 204N 1785W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12)
120 204N 1785W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 90 90 90 90 90 85
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER CRAIG/DONALDSON
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