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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.13.0608230245 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 230245
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 pm HST Tue Aug 22 2006
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90   
KTS...105 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
15N 175W       34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   1(15)
 
20N 175W       34  1   9(10)  24(34)  19(53)  15(68)   3(71)   1(72)
20N 175W       50  X   1( 1)   9(10)  14(24)  12(36)   3(39)   1(40)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   7(15)   2(17)   X(17)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   2(13)
25N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 174N 1710W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 174N 1710W 50 89   5(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 174N 1710W 64 52  12(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 
 24 183N 1721W 34 62  28(90)   4(94)   1(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 183N 1721W 50 15  49(64)   7(71)   2(73)   2(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 24 183N 1721W 64  2  29(31)   8(39)   1(40)   1(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 
 36 190N 1732W 34 10  47(57)  21(78)   6(84)   4(88)   1(89)   X(89)
 36 190N 1732W 50  1  21(22)  26(48)   7(55)   3(58)   1(59)   1(60)
 36 190N 1732W 64  X   6( 6)  17(23)   5(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)
 
 48 197N 1742W 34  3  19(22)  31(53)  15(68)   9(77)   2(79)   1(80)
 48 197N 1742W 50  X   4( 4)  18(22)  14(36)   8(44)   2(46)   X(46)
 48 197N 1742W 64  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
 
 72 205N 1760W 34  X   3( 3)  13(16)  18(34)  21(55)   7(62)   1(63)
 72 205N 1760W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  14(24)   3(27)   1(28)
 72 205N 1760W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
 
 96 206N 1773W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  11(16)  23(39)   9(48)   2(50)
 96 206N 1773W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   5(18)   1(19)
 96 206N 1773W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
 
120 204N 1785W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  17(23)  13(36)   3(39)
120 204N 1785W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   2(12)
120 204N 1785W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     90      90      90      90      90      85
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CRAIG/DONALDSON